Reflections from Davos 2026 on Governance, Geopolitics, and the Dual-Use Technology Challenge
By Jesús Mantas, Board Director, Biogen, IFF, and NACD; Council Member, Council on Global Competition and Innovation – CGCI; Former Global Managing Partner, IBM
This January, as in prior years, I joined nearly 3,000 leaders from government, business, and civil society in Davos under the theme “A Spirit of Dialogue.” Yet amid the conversations about cooperation and growth, and the obvious focus on Artificial Intelligence, one message quietly raised new questions with particular urgency: national security has become as much a business priority as a political matter, because economic security is national security.
For those of us who serve on corporate boards, this is not an abstraction. It is our new reality. We may sit far from the traditional front lines of warfare and once assumed government provided “national security as a service” while we focused on long-term stakeholder value creation. That assumption no longer holds. The front lines have shifted. Modern conflict now blends policy, information and cyber domains. What once involved kinetic warfare against military targets increasingly includes cognitive attacks, misinformation campaigns, and cyber intrusions aimed at commercial, civilian, and critical infrastructure systems. The organizations we govern—and the assets we are entrusted to protect—have become direct targets in this new security landscape.
A New Era of Policy Volatility
Consider the environment we now navigate. U.S. tariff rates have reached levels not seen since 1946, generating $187 billion in additional revenue in 2025 alone. The FY 2026 National Defense Authorization Act and the COINS Act have expanded outbound investment controls well beyond China to include a wide range of “countries of concern.” CFIUS reviews now place heightened emphasis on technology control plans, data segregation, and ongoing monitoring obligations. Meanwhile, export control regimes under ITAR (International Traffic in Arms Regulations) and EAR (Export Administration Regulations) are being enforced more aggressively than at any point in recent memory.
The posture towards American businesses is also quickly shifting in response to these policy changes–even among allies. We are being forced to reset the norms and behaviors we had accepted for two decades as board members of American companies operating globally. I have not felt this level of change since traveling to Europe in 2002, in the middle of the Iraq war, and the shift today is even more acute.
The implication for boards is clear: legal and compliance considerations tied to national security are no longer episodic. They are structural. The globalization assumptions that drove board decisions for decades must now be adjusted in a context of rising sovereign demands by traditional allies, with direct implications for demand, supply chains, and capital allocation decisions.
When Commercial Technology Becomes a Target
Companies build and maintain many aspects of the critical infrastructure that modern societies depend upon. Economic Security is national security. The distinction between “commercial” and “defense” technology has now blurred irreversibly.
Bad actors understand this well. Nation-states organized criminal networks, and opportunistic hackers now target corporate systems as proxies for geopolitical advantage. The World Economic Forum’s Global Cybersecurity Outlook 2026 underscores that AI and geopolitical fragmentation are amplifying these threats at an unprecedented pace.
The data confirms what many of us feel intuitively. According to NACD’s 2025 survey, 77% of directors now discuss the material and financial implications of cyber incidents—a remarkable 25-point increase in just three years. It is not only our companies at risk. Research shows that board members and executives carry the highest risk of successful phishing attacks. We have become high-value targets ourselves.
Governance Excellence as Strategic Imperative
At its best, capitalism is a force for positive transformation—lifting communities, driving innovation, and expanding opportunity. But this promise can only be realized when it is anchored in trust. In today’s environment, corporate governance must be the ultimate custodian of trust: it is the foundation upon which economic security and national resilience are built.
Governance excellence rests on three interdependent pillars. Trust is earned through ethical conduct and transparent decision-making. Confidence is established when boards demonstrate competence, foresight, and integrity in uncertain environments. Accountability aligns actions with organizational values and the broader expectations of society. Together, these pillars create the ecosystem that enables organizations to withstand shocks, adapt to disruption, and advance both prosperity and security.
Four Imperatives for Board Leadership
To meet this moment, boards must adjust their playbook. First, integrate geopolitical risk into enterprise risk management. Map your technology development, data governance, supply chains, and foreign exposure. Use scenario planning to anticipate tariff volatility and policy shifts, and assess how these dynamics affect earnings and shareholder returns.
Second, include a national security lens into capital allocation. Consider strategic vulnerabilities: supply chain dependencies, dual-use technology risks, and adversarial capital flows. Embrace what the Council on Global Competition and Innovation – CGCI calls “GCI investing”—market-led strategies that channel capital toward assets of strategic importance to national security and economic resilience.
Third, elevate cybersecurity from IT risk to a broader strategic enterprise risk. Align with maturity frameworks like NIST and ISO—73% of Fortune 100 companies now disclose such alignment. Conduct tabletop exercises that include national security implications and threats, and actively manage the personal digital footprints of management and board members.
Fourth, build board competency for this new era. Strengthen board skills in technology and national security. Commit to continuous education on geopolitical trends and emerging technologies. Ask the question that separates resilient organizations from vulnerable ones: “Are we prepared for the ‘unknown unknown’—the risks we cannot yet imagine?”
A Call to Leadership
The path forward demands courage, humility, and relentless self-assessment. It requires us to see ourselves not merely as fiduciaries of shareholder value, but as stewards of a system whose stability underpins the prosperity and security of society itself.
The pursuit of profit and the protection of economic security—which is national security—must become mutually reinforcing pillars. This is not a constraint on business; it is an opportunity to transform governance from a compliance exercise into a source of enduring strategic advantage.



